It Is Not Suitable To Enlarge The Scale Of Silkworm Breeding Blindly.
The price of cocoon has plummeted for two consecutive years.
Silkworm cocoon
The situation of excessive production and serious shortage of industrial raw materials.
And this year,
Demand exceeds supply
The price of cocoon silk market has increased sharply, and the recovery of cocoon output has increased, and the purchasing price of spring cocoons has increased considerably.
According to the statistics of the Ministry of agriculture, the production of silkworm cocoons in spring this year is affected by the severe drought in Southwest China, the low temperature and cold damage in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, the late growth of mulberry leaves, the slow growth of the mulberry trees, and the delayed incubation of spring silkworms for about 7 days, but there is still a good situation of increasing production and income.
Judging from the output, according to statistics, 6 million 67 thousand species of silkworm eggs were released this year, an increase of 492 thousand over the same period, an increase of 8.8%, and cocoon production of 257 thousand tons, an increase of 27 thousand tons compared with the same period last year, an increase of 11.8%.
From the purchase price of spring cocoons, the purchase price of fresh cocoons nationwide is calculated by weighted average of 50 kilograms of cocoon price. Last year, spring cocoons were 970 yuan and Xia Qiujian was 1167 yuan. This year spring cocoons rose to 1533 yuan, up 58.6% compared with the same period last year, and the ring ratio increased 31.4%.
Among them, Jiangsu, Shandong and other high quality cocoons are all over 1800 yuan.
Such as Jiangsu, Haian, Dongtai and Zhejiang, Jinyun, Chunan and other counties and cities, the highest price reached 2000 yuan.
The cocoon price is higher in spring.
Silkworm farmers
Thanks to statistics, according to statistics, this year's spring silkworm income was 7 billion 980 million yuan, an increase of 3 billion 470 million yuan, an increase of 76.9%, of which 4 provinces and autonomous regions such as Anhui, Guangdong, Guangxi and Xinjiang increased nearly one or more times.
Guangxi's spring cocoon income was 2 billion 620 million yuan, an increase of 1 billion 280 million yuan, an increase of 94.8%. The income of spring cocoons in Guangdong and Anhui was 910 million yuan and 370 million yuan, respectively, increasing by 188.4% and 104.6% respectively.
Under such circumstances, the enthusiasm of sericulture and sericulture in summer and autumn is even higher.
According to statistics, from the situation of silkworm breeding in summer and autumn, 9 million 760 thousand species were issued in the whole country, an increase of 1 million 70 thousand, an increase of 12.3% over the same period.
The Ministry of agriculture's planting management division researcher, Huai song, predicts that although there are serious floods in some areas of the south, some of them are affected by summer silkworms. But most of them are autumn silkworms in the summer and autumn. As long as the climate is normal, the yield of autumn cocoons will be higher than that of spring silkworms. The total output of silkworm cocoons in the whole year will increase by more than 10%.
If cocoon price can maintain the level of spring, the national sericultural income will be nearly doubled, and it can better compensate the loss of silkworm farmers' production and reduction in the previous two years.
But from another two sets of data analysis, next year's silkworm production is complex: first, the output of silkworm eggs will be over 15 million this year, an increase of more than 30% over last year.
According to the normal market supply and demand analysis, next year is either oversupply of silkworm cocoons or loss of silkworm farmers, or loss of silkworm eggs.
Two, some areas have begun to expand the area of mulberry trees blindly.
According to statistics, this year's national mulberry garden area of 11 million 960 thousand mu, an increase of 289 thousand mu, an increase of 2.5%.
One of the western provinces has increased 280 thousand mu, an increase of 15.3% over the previous year, and plans to produce 3 million 200 thousand silkworms in the summer and Autumn period, an increase of 1 million 420 thousand, an increase of 80.5% over the same period, and a rapid expansion of the area.
In this regard, Feng Huai song reminded everywhere not to blindly expand production: "cocoon silk industry technology progress is slow, the world's annual consumption of wire is basically stable. At present, although the recovery of silk price has increased, it basically fluctuated around 270 thousand yuan per ton. In order to protect farmers' benefits of mulberry cultivation and silkworm production, the total output of silkworm cocoons in the whole country should remain basically stable at this year's level.
In particular, we should learn from the 2006 and 2007 blind expansion of sericulture production scale, resulting in a continuous two-year cocoon price plunge in the historical lesson.
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